Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.205791 0.243026 0.284661 0.334607 0.392839 0.458531 0.538207
2025-07-27 0.156726 0.206384 0.267775 0.349007 0.453407 0.582798 0.755043
2025-08-03 0.122720 0.175824 0.246756 0.347913 0.487880 0.674050 0.939695
2025-08-10 0.096504 0.148458 0.222509 0.334927 0.500285 0.733397 1.085473
2025-08-17 0.076684 0.125646 0.199551 0.318081 0.501993 0.774685 1.207273
2025-08-24 0.066085 0.114496 0.191359 0.320719 0.531020 0.856824 1.396108
2025-08-31 0.055298 0.100980 0.177037 0.310946 0.538302 0.905142 1.536661
2025-09-07 0.049050 0.093965 0.172039 0.315219 0.568005 0.991022 1.745250
2025-09-14 0.043407 0.087023 0.165995 0.316501 0.592163 1.069473 1.948830
2025-09-21 0.037890 0.079372 0.157492 0.311974 0.605033 1.129242 2.125527
2025-09-28 0.033587 0.073360 0.151104 0.310301 0.622462 1.198150 2.324611
2025-10-05 0.031606 0.071714 0.152818 0.324240 0.670580 1.327131 2.645926
2025-10-12 0.030451 0.071863 0.158581 0.347921 0.742355 1.511368 3.097804
2025-10-19 0.028400 0.069769 0.159526 0.362074 0.797290 1.670184 3.519880
2025-10-26 0.025322 0.064800 0.153607 0.360814 0.820180 1.768150 3.831786
2025-11-02 0.021783 0.058104 0.142847 0.347349 0.815191 1.808636 4.030313
2025-11-09 0.018503 0.051437 0.131111 0.329904 0.799005 1.823512 4.176026
2025-11-16 0.016876 0.048691 0.128210 0.332636 0.828581 1.939183 4.550040
2025-11-23 0.014752 0.044237 0.120453 0.322516 0.826881 1.985685 4.776093
2025-11-30 0.013611 0.042275 0.118670 0.326941 0.860345 2.114541 5.200644
2025-12-07 0.012449 0.040038 0.115836 0.328268 0.886318 2.228680 5.602636
2025-12-14 0.011166 0.037206 0.110979 0.323581 0.896528 2.306595 5.926965
2025-12-21 0.010139 0.034963 0.107405 0.321848 0.914110 2.403977 6.307874